He'll be convicted of at least some of the counts, but will immediately begin appealing the decision and won't face any consequences before the election.
Maybe the fact that he's now a "convicted felon" will sway some people, but my guess is that most will simply move their own internal goalposts "since it's still being decided on appeal"
Exactly this.
"Sorry Mr. President, the policies you enacted during the triple hurricane saved thousands of lives, but the drug test you took beforehand were positive for mood stabilizers so we've invalidated your policies and everyone who was saved by them has been taken out back and shot."
This isn't the fucking Olympics. But then debates are a terrible way to judge a president to begin with.