this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
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Donald Trump has not received a poll boost in the first presidential election survey conducted since the failed assassination attempt on Saturday.

The poll, conducted by Morning Consult of 2,045 registered voters on Monday, reveals that Trump is leading Joe Biden by just one percentage point on 46 percent, compared to the president's 45 percent. The poll has a margin of error of +/- two percentage points.

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[–] card797@champserver.net 6 points 3 months ago (1 children)

See 2020. The same result is quite likely. I don't care what any new organization or poll says. Don't care.

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[–] RagingSnarkasm@lemmy.world 5 points 3 months ago

The only thing missing from that picture is him holding the chain attached to Slave Leia.

[–] jj4211@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

I'd say it's unlikely to change minds, but it could cause people to be even more forceful in their support and more likely to vote.

[–] JimmyBigSausage@lemm.ee 4 points 3 months ago

“I don’t like people that get shot at.”

[–] tmpod@lemmy.pt 4 points 3 months ago (3 children)

Isn't 2k voters a comically small sample to draw any results from? I hope it is true, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.

[–] nexguy@lemmy.world 7 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I think 2k is a bit larger than the average polls I've seen which are 400 to 1500 usually.

[–] CaptainSpaceman@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago (1 children)

1000 is a solid sample size to start with, doubling that is better. But ultimately polls are flawed in the designers bias. How they frame questions matters and creates biases.

[–] zbyte64@awful.systems 1 points 3 months ago

Still, if the poll is asking the same question over time, then you can track trends over time.

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[–] mctoasterson@reddthat.com 4 points 3 months ago

There are a number of conflicting polls but realize that they can't account for things like "enthusiasm gap" which definitely cuts in Trump's favor at the moment. That said, the newscycles have been so insane lately, who knows what the next 10 inflection points before the election will bring.

[–] werefreeatlast@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago (4 children)

If it was me. I would stop my campaign out of respect for the family of the fallen.

[–] Zorsith@lemmy.blahaj.zone 3 points 3 months ago

Trump: "respect? That's that one song by the black lady right? insert racist ramble here"

[–] iAmTheTot@sh.itjust.works 1 points 3 months ago

That seems like an odd sentiment. I'm no Trump supporter, but I can imagine a mindset of "hold on, my family died supporting you and you're going to give up?"

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[–] NeptuneOrbit@lemmy.world 2 points 3 months ago

That would be some sort of participation trophy.

[–] sirico@feddit.uk 2 points 3 months ago

A bit unrelated but the Stock price for Trump Media went up

[–] FiniteBanjo@lemmy.today 2 points 3 months ago

He does poll much higher than Harris in some polls that show up on Fivethirtyeight but it hardly makes much sense to include those polls, imo.

why does he look disabled?

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