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Outstanding idea. (lemmy.world)
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[-] mipadaitu@lemmy.world 198 points 6 days ago

Not sure why SpaceX is in this group, except "cause musk", since they're objectively the best rocket company out there.

The rest are obvious, but the Falcon 9 is the cheapest, and most reliable rocket.

[-] sp3tr4l@lemmy.zip 51 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

While Falcon 9 is a dependable rocket...

  1. One has never been turned around as re-usable in anywhere near 24 or 72 hours as Musk claimed they would be, fastest turn around to date is I think 3 weeks, roughly in line with faster Space Shuttle turn around times. No where near 'rapid'.

EDIT: My turnaround times for the Space Shuttle were off, fastest was 55 days and its more like 3 months in average. The point I was attempting to illustrate, which is Rapid Reusability Is A Huge Element To Making The Cost Effectiveness Gains Promised, And SpaceX Is Still Off By An Order Of Magnitude, Over A Decade Into The Falcon Program.

  1. The cost to launch a Falcon 9 has never dropped to around 5 million dollars, as Musk claimed they would be. Even accounting for inflation, launches average around ten times the cost Musk said they would be. Musk is charging the government around 90 million per launch: Soyuz was the only option, so the Russians could overcharge a bit for ISS launches, now the Russians are not an option, and Musk is similarly overcharging.

  2. Starship/BFR is woefully behind the schedule for accomplishments that Musk claimed it would reach in his hype shows, woefully behind schedule for the NASA contract.

  3. Starship/BFR has cost taxpayers billions of dollars and so far has a proven payload capacity of 0, would require 12 to 16 launches to accomplish what a single Saturn V could do, has not demonstrated the capacity to refuel in orbit, is not human rated, and is now just being moved back to Starship 2 and 3, with Musk now claiming Starship 1 actually has half the orbital cargo capacity he has up to recently claimed it has.

  4. For comparison, the Saturn project had a development time similar to how long BFR/Starship has... never once failed, proved it could do what it needed to in 67, 7 years after development began.

(They also had computers maybe a little bit more or less powerful than a ti-83 and had to basically invent a huge chunk of computer science)

Starship/BFR development has been a shit show.

Dear Moon is cancelled.

Remember when the repulsive landing Dragon Capsule was going to land humans on Mars?

Remember when we were going to have multiple Starships starting a Martian colony by now?

SpaceX in general has gotten high on their own supply over the last 10 years and has made all sorts of lofty claims about lowering launch costs, rapid reusability, rockets for military asset deployment to anywhere on Earth, rockets as basically super fast commercial airliner travel, all of which have driven massive public hype and investor confidence, and then these claims are just forgotten about when it becomes apparent just how difficult these are to achieve, or in some cases, laughably, obviously unworkable with even a modicum of thought.

The truth of the matter, as proven by Musk's handling of his other companies, is that Musk just says things, "We can do this now!", when in reality he's basically had a napkin drawing plan a month ago, calls this prototyping, and now its a month later, and he emailed somebody and said 'Make this happen' with no further explanation, thus the project is now in development.

[-] JohnDClay@sh.itjust.works 93 points 5 days ago

Seems like you're comparing SpaceX to Elons promises, not against the rest of the space industry. They're still much better than all the rest, even if they don't quite meet Elons promises.

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[-] clothes@lemmy.world 36 points 5 days ago

Musk is gross and SpaceX has some questionable marketing claims that you've identified, but I don't see how anyone could claim that anything about the company's products are a shitshow.

Falcon 9 has radically changed the economics of the space industry, and has no competition to force lower prices.

Starship has had a very successful testing campaign, and operates within a different development paradigm than Saturn. They've shown more progress on more technology in the last year than almost any rocket ever. It won't be long before Starship has demonstrated all the capabilities you mentioned. While the price tag is large in absolute terms, it will be very cheap relative to the competition.

Dear Moon was not canceled by SpaceX, and no one who follows the industry has ever believed Musk's timelines.

I guess I'm confused, because everything I know about Starship points towards it being one of the most incredible engineering accomplishments ever. There are lots of other problems with SpaceX's leadership, environmental impact, and work culture, but aren't the products inspiring?

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[-] Diplomjodler3@lemmy.world 23 points 6 days ago

bUt aLl tHe sTaRsHiPs eXpLoDeD!!!

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[-] TheReturnOfPEB@reddthat.com 104 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

SpaceX has Gwynne Shotwell who actually is the reason to find SpaceX interesting. She is so powerful that she can overcome Musk's perpetually increasingly unstable drag coefficient.

[-] feedum_sneedson@lemmy.world 14 points 5 days ago
[-] lesbian_seagull@lemm.ee 18 points 5 days ago

Speaking of good names…

perpetually increasingly unstable drag coefficient

Band name?

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[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 60 points 5 days ago

Oh come on. SpaceX is doing way better than Boeing atm.

[-] figaro@lemdro.id 17 points 5 days ago

Yeah honestly space x is rocking it because of the immense talent of the team that exists there. They do over 100 successful launches per year now. It has transformed the space industry as humanity has ever known it. That's fucking cool.

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[-] Thcdenton@lemmy.world 71 points 5 days ago

Musk is a pissbaby, but I'll whiteknight spacex until they blow up a tourist.

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[-] april@lemmy.world 76 points 6 days ago

One of these things is not like the others. Falcon 9 is the most successful and impressive rocket ever built.

[-] altasshet@lemmy.ca 50 points 6 days ago

Replace Falcon with Starliner. Boeing is big enough to fuck up twice.

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[-] Demdaru@lemmy.world 26 points 5 days ago

Imma be honest, I deem Tesla successful. At start, their mission was to get EVs started up and going. And they fucking did. After showing how much can EVs achieve, they forced whole world to shift focus - they succeeded. As of what happens with the company now...I don't care. They did hella lot of good for everyone, now they can fall off. Would prefer if Musk fucked off instead and let them cook, but eh.

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[-] echodot@feddit.uk 27 points 5 days ago

Why is SpaceX on that I mean I know "musk bad", but seriously they're doing well. Just put Boeing on there again this time for Starliner.

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[-] Prandom_returns@lemm.ee 21 points 5 days ago

Muskians are having fits in the comments

[-] Ragnarok314159@sopuli.xyz 12 points 4 days ago

Imagine simping over a Nazi worshipper like Musk who isn’t qualified to run a McDonalds.

[-] Finalsolo963@lemmy.blahaj.zone 30 points 5 days ago

Replace spacex with blueorigin and I'm there.

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[-] iAvicenna@lemmy.world 10 points 4 days ago

the expandables

[-] egeres@lemmy.world 27 points 5 days ago

Space x doesn't belong there

gotta wait for Bezos to catch up with the shenanigans.

[-] 11111one11111@lemmy.world 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Doesn't he have a wierd pissing at work thing and have cameras in delivery trucks that penalize you when you yawn? I'd say rhe fuckin billionaire is qualified to fuck right off.

i forgot bezos doesn't own blue orgin anymore

[-] fadhl3y@lemmy.one 19 points 5 days ago

Two of your team members are Elon

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[-] creditCrazy@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago

Still gotta find a fourth member

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[-] dual_sport_dork@lemmy.world 24 points 6 days ago

You son of a bitch, I'm out.

[-] AdrianTheFrog@lemmy.world 16 points 5 days ago

No one cared when Astra’s first three attempts (with a much less ambitious design) recently failed to reach orbit. Of course, launching rockets is hard and SpaceX’s first, less ambitious rocket also failed on its first three attempts. I’m sure other manufacturers have had their own share of problems. IMO people mostly think worse of spacex because it gets more publicity, but some degree of failure is always to be expected with new ventures in commercial rocketry.

[-] BeardedGingerWonder@feddit.uk 15 points 5 days ago

There's 2 main reasons spacex gets shit. First one is Musk. Second one is the weird competitive thing SpaceX fanbois do where they criticise the shit out of all other rocket manufacturers and endlessly praise everything spaceX do.

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[-] ZealousSealion@discuss.tchncs.de 9 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Top left: An aerospace conglomerate with an all-consuming focus on short-term profits, leading to endemic problems. The featured product being the 787, a functional and popular airliner which had numerous problems related to excessive outsourcing. Some safety concerns about newly delivered planes of this type, due to the company's endemic problems. As an airline, I would prefer to buy Airbus. And as a passenger, I would avoid the 737 Max totally and all Boeings for the first years of service.

Top right: A major electric car company with major leadership problems. The featured product is an automobile which compares disfavourably to other electric pickup trucks in most conventional metrics. As a consumer, I would look at alternatives.

Bottom left: Someone thought they could build a submarine.

Bottom right: The world's leading space launch company. Also the world's leading satellite internet company. The featured product is the Falcon 9, a large rocket capable of sending a large payload into orbit or beyond. The first stage can then land and be reused. Some concerns about the leadership of the company, and the side effects of their failure tolerant testing. As a for-profit company, I would have no other choice in launch providers. As a consumer, I could be in a situation where they are the the only real provider of internet access.

A very diverse "team". Assembled by someone with a different perspective than my own.

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this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2024
833 points (93.5% liked)

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