this post was submitted on 25 Aug 2023
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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[–] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 6 points 1 year ago

First of all the report presumes a 10% rise of emissions in Germany this year compared to the last one. The data for the first half of the year however showed a 9% drop in emissions, so a 10% rise is extraordinarily unlikely to happen.

Then the report shows a 63% drop of emissions by 2030 compared to 1990, if no additional measures are taken. If the ones in work right now are actually implemented the drop becomes 66%. So meeting that target is actually very much possible. However transport emissions are still likely to be missed, but buildings might be meet, if the proper laws are passed.

Given all of that the 2045 target is at this point still very much possible and not "set to miss". There is still time to pass the necessary laws, if the 2030 target can be achieved. If the advise in the report is actually followed, that might even be undercut.

Oh and the actual report in German, if you want to read it.