this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2024
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Not really. Most of Europe is just fine. We in the UK have elected a labor government for the first time in several elections as the conservatives severely fucked up multiple times. Far right wing sentiment is on the rise in several countries, but that doesn't make them the majority, so they aren't winning elections anywhere but locally. Mostly the far right are just taking votes from the moderate right.
In the same breath, we now have climate scientists saying that remaining below 1.5° this century is all but a pipedream, right wing leaders surging in Italy, Germany, France, Hungary, and other EU countries stoking socially regressive rhetoric, and the AMOC could fail as soon as 2026, plunging Europe temperatures by 10° and causing a new annual storm front akin to Florida right above France and Germany. I am less than optimistic for Europe's future as a whole, as crises drive further nationalism and right wing populism. In future, with european crops struggling under these worse conditions and with the UK currently reliant on imports for 60% its food, the worst is likely yet to come for us.
So nothing has really happened yet then? While that all sounds alarming it's all theoretical at best. We as a species have already made large inroads on pollution and climate change. Even China is building huge wind and solar farms. It's now more profitable to invest in renewables than fossil fuels. It seems to me the main people holding us back are the USA who for some reason seem to be going backwards.
You tend to find that as people struggle more it's far left wing politics that appeals to the working class just as much as the far right. Hence things like the recent labor victory. Last I heard in France the far right party was beaten by a coalition on the left. I don't really know what's happening in Germany, but I imagine it's much the same. Both extremes of politics get amplified in times of struggle. It's probably why the Democrats failed in America, because they are too moderate and too centrist.