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UK creating ‘murder prediction’ tool to identify people most likely to kill.
(www.statewatch.org)
this post was submitted on 08 Apr 2025
379 points (99.2% liked)
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Reminder to watch Minority Report again... I don't even remember whether that movie was any good or not
Can't believe that movie is looking to become a reality in my lifetime.
It’s great!
570 recorded homicides between March 2023 and 2024.
Data on "hundreds of thousands" of people can't provide the distinguishing markers to even have a stab at this.
It can reliably predict when people are black, though.
It can predict blackness with up to 63% accuracy!
Is 63% significant?
If I was clever I might have said 60%
Because 3/5
Eh that's more of a US thing
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And it will say people of lower economic classes and foreign origin are the biggest risk. Will action be taken to help these people? Nah. This is just going to be a technological excuse for some good ol' repression.
Precrime is here!
Precrime will be here!
Precrime will have had been here?
Precrime wioll haven be here.
Perhaps this is all just highly refined British humour?
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy skips lightly over this tangle of academic abstraction, pausing only to note that the term “Future Perfect” has been abandoned since it was discovered not to be.
Be ready to go to jail for shit you never did, and then be forced to watch the thing you never did for your entire sentence. What do you think you'll do when you are released?
You're assuming they'll ever release you.
"I'm sorry; we predicted that, if we were to release you now, you'll murder someone."
That's actually the idea. It's not general precrime, it's a decision support tool for predicting recidivism when deciding parole cases.
That doesn't mean it's not on decidedly shonky ground statistically speaking.
Getting closer to PSYCHO-PASS
Miniluv