Rip my year-old IRA...
this post was submitted on 10 Mar 2025
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From the article:
“We see some irony in the recent outperformance by foreign markets over the U.S. markets. In our view, foreign companies in Europe, Asia, and Latin America are likely to suffer even more from deployment of tariffs than companies in the U.S.”
I think they are overestimating the amount of trade flowing into the US. Tariffs will directly impacg US companies and customers, but they'll also decrease the demand for foreign products. That will cause a challenge, if not outright recession worldwide, but I still think that foreign companies would be able to mitigate the drop in demand from the US better than US companies coping with supply shortages and higher prices.
It’s crazy that with a tariff on energy, utilities and energy are up lmao.
Oil companies were the biggest contributions to the project 25
Everyone here mentioning billionaires and missing the point that the Russian agent in charge is just doing his best to deliver any and all assets to Russia. Sanctions getting lifted just as the fire sale on American assets begins right before the civil unrest. If you’re a Russian dictator you could not have planned it better. Republicans are seriously the dumbest mother/sister fuckers on the planet. I can’t even believe how fucking stupid you’d have to be to hold “conservative views”. Like it does not compute how you can be that dumb
Like it does not compute how you can be that dumb
Easy, lack of education (or even actively detrimental 'education'), courtesy of decades of Republican sabotage of the education system
My GIC came due and I was considering mutual funds, the bank employee (in those services not like a random one) even said now may not be the best time to do that due to the way markets are in flux. Like they make money if I put it into mutual funds. Unless she just didn't want to help me shrug that's sort of a possibility since they didn't call for our previous appointment when my last one was due. Least it's making more than my bank account I guess but this seems a bit more down than usual too, mean that's usually a good time to buy but who knows when they manipulate it up? Not us regular folk, who have more to lose when they absolutely tank it before it makes gains and a pittance because I chose the wrong one.
Also I'm sure I made the incorrect choice, you're welcome to tell me how badly I've chosen. I used to play RPG games, in D&D I rolled a 1 for attack and 20 for ability check twice in 4 rolls, I always have the worst luck. Go to slots and see my buddy with a bucket of coins when mine ran out in as many tries as my coinage allowed. So if I chose to buy the markets would suck longer lol.
We should create a WallStreetBets Lemmy community here to discuss our possible trades.
Recent recessions have shown that the top 1% get richer after the recession. It makes sense when you think about the super rich having the cash to invest is now much cheaper stocks and property while everyone else is struggling to make ends meet.
So I wonder how much the Nazi and the monkey want to avoid a recession. The monkey does not have to worry about reelection and the Nazi is a psychopath.
This is intentional. The billionaires are salivating waiting in the wings to buy up as much as possible when the prices are low.
Billionaries just short the stocks and make tons on the way down as well.
But I thought Trump was going to make the economy great again /s 🤣
He'll issue an executive order establishing that the market can only go up
He disbanded the US government agency that develops the annual GDP numbers. Guess how they'll figure those out next year?
If you guessed "we'll make some up that are higher than last year" then you're spot on.
The numbers will go up. Nobody knew they could go up. It's unheard of.
Signing those with his big-boy Sharpie is about al he knows about actually governing lol
I mean for the longest time it only has gone up... And that's not sustainable
https://www.macrotrends.net/1319/dow-jones-100-year-historical-chart
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I think he's doing this deliberately. Encourage people to sell, so his buddies can scoop up stocks at low prices.
it's so much more than stocks. stocks are mostly vibes and short term get rich schemes for already wealthy people. they're Pokemon cards for the finance class, creating almost nothing tangibly beneficial to society. hype and FUD in an endless cycle.
you can't eat stocks. you can't warm your house with stocks. you can't manufacture solar panels with stocks.
real wealth, the serious fuck you Big Money, depends on the ownership and distribution of real resources: real estate, agricultural land, factories, pipelines, commerical buildings, capital infrastructure. these are what the ultra wealthy buy up during recessions and then charge rents and leases for everyone else to pay, forever. forget about owning land or a home, your kids can't compete with someone paying cash on a 600k house or snatching up entire portfolios of hundreds of rentals in a single purchase.
bailouts and blank checks given out as PPP loans to "business owners" during Covid redistributed wealth from the taxpayers (government) into the hands of the wealthiest people in the world. they can then convert their Pokemon collections into real wealth generating resources. government bailouts to corporations become an engine for not just making the rich richer but the types of assets they then acquire using that money cements them at the top of the wealth generation food chain forever.
Trump 2.0 is engineering another massive redistribution, even bigger and more focused on real estate than before. he made his fake reputation on real estate. loyalist oligarchs who bank rolled dark maga will be handsomely rewarded with the newly emptied government office buildings and public lands.
and your kids and grandkids will be homeless.
yup, I'd buy apple or microsoft or nvidia because they are going down now but will go up certainly in 1 or 2 days or even weeks/months. Except tesla, this one will go down and down and down for days/weeks/months, tesla stock is super toxic, dump all of it.
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The problem is, nobody else knows how low the prices would be.
Economic downturns are WHAT REPUBLICANS DO 👏 crab cakes and football 👏
Recession speed run.
Only if we're on the any%, this is looking like a 100% run so more like 'Depression'
This is going to be the second Great Depression.
It is going to impact the entire world.
Notable differences from the last Great Depression:
Many countries have many nuclear weapons.
Something like 6 billion more people exist.
Climate change is accelerating, and this will make food more expensive everywhere, as opposed to a regionalized Dust Bowl, as well as causing more frequent and more severe natural disasters basically everywhere.... and the more time passes, the more expensive it will be to mitigate this.
Perhaps also worth noting:
Japan argued the US's oil embargo on it as functionally a declaration of economic war.
History is replete with examples of embargoes and massive tariffs being considered a justification for escalating a trade war... to an actual war.
"Small price to pay to own the libs!" the faithful cry as they slowly eat their daily ration (one egg and a slice of wonder bread)
Eggs? In this economy?!
"Shut up about the eggs"
- Donald Trump
Look at Mr Fancy over here eating a whole egg every day.
bUt doNaLd is a gREat bUSinESs mAN! /s
The people have spoken! Trump is so much better for the economy! /s
Every time I see these two side by side I think of the smiler and the beast from transmetropolitan
Margin of error +/-52%.
Damn the people are dumb as fuck
So. Fucking. Dumb.
Looks like I might have made the right choice keeping my non-401k savings out of a market index fund for now.
I sold all of my stocks a couple weeks back and I'm feeling pretty fucking good about that right now.
My employee stock purchase plan went through recently. I missed selling before the dip caused by all the other employees selling. Normally I will ride it out for a bit and the stock jumps back up but this time I had a sense it was going to just keep dropping. I waited a couple hours for it to partially rebound and managed to time it perfectly, it's only been downhill since I sold lol
Well done. Timing the re-entry is difficult as well.
To be totally honest, this isn't about stock market gamesmanship to me--I'm not trying to buy the dip over the next few days. (If anything I'm waiting for the AI bubble, which I personally believe is bigger than the .com bubble, to blow the fuck up.)
Between incompetent idiots and assholes running everything, ridiculously inflated stock prices, meme stocks and market manipulation, on-again-off-again trade war bullshit, and the AI bubble, I'm happy to have my money out of the market. I have zero faith in the people who are running our economy to do anything worth investing in, and I'll be perfectly happy to find alternative means of investing over the next 2-4 years.
Frankly, I'm sick of putting almost my entire life savings in the hands of corporations and the delusional k-holed fucknuts like Musk who run them. It's a bonus that I'm no longer the shameful owner of bullshit ETFs and company shares that serve only to enrich and empower the richest corporate oligarchs.
I've lived through multiple crashes already, maybe I'll hop back into the stock market during the next one, or maybe not because fuck this whole system.
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trying to look at the positive side, some house market value correction would be nice
The TCJA passed in Trump's first term. It cut the mortgage interest deduction.
Mortgage interest deduction for newly purchased homes (and second homes) was lowered from total loan balances of $1 million under current law to $750,000. Interest from home equity loans (aka second mortgages) is no longer deductible, unless the money is used for home improvements.
The mortgage interest deduction is a tax break for homeowners, and Trump Term 1 saw that get cut. One would expect that cut to generally apply downwards pressure on house prices, since it makes it more-expensive to borrow money to buy a house.
If one assumes that one could use that as a guidepost as to policy during a second term, maybe that'll continue.
kagis
https://doeren.com/viewpoint/president-trumps-proposed-tax-plans
To that end, GOP lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives have compiled a 50-page document that identifies potential avenues they may take, as well as how much these tax and other fiscal changes would cost or save.
To help generate savings, the GOP document proposes making changes to various tax breaks, such as:
- The mortgage interest deduction. Suggestions include eliminating the deduction or lowering the current $750,000 limit to $500,000.
Sounds like it. So that could push prices of houses downwards.
I haven't been following the situation there, so this is just a quick skim, mind.
EDIT: I'd also add that some of Trump's policies may have dramatic increases on house prices, depending on what he actually does at any given point in time; he's not really one for providing clear guidance, and even when he does, one can't very well take his statements at face value. Two potentially relevant factors include:
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Trade disputes with Canada. The US gets a lot of its lumber from Canada, and North American homes are typically wood-framed. If lumber becomes more expensive, that will drive up the materials cost of construction of new homes.
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Illegal immigration. If Trump actually has a significant impact on the illegal immigrant population, it will increase labor costs in construction, as construction makes use of a lot of illegal immigrant labor. That will drive up the labor cost of construction of new homes. My personal take is that most of Trump on immigration is political theater for domestic politics, but it's worth keeping in mind.
So it's hard to judge what factors might dominate.
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Surely mortgage interest rates will follow right? Right? Yeah, right...
That's based on inflation and with the tariffs I've got bad news regarding inflation...
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