this post was submitted on 24 Sep 2023
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They're making slow progress constantly but the front lines are barely moving. There's obviously a chance for a big break through as the first defences are always the heaviest and it should get easier after that, but there's still a long way to go, and they're both taking heavy casualties every single day.
The only actual progress being made is in destroying the equipment NATO managed to cobble together and losing trained manpower. Even if a miracle happened and Ukraine managed to make some breakthrough, what exactly is it going to be consolidated with given that they spent past three and a half months beating their head against a wall. They've already thrown in all the reserve brigades that were originally meant to come in and consolidate the gains now.