Political Memes

A group of people doesn’t have to be a majority to be statistically significant. If 13% of people suddenly woke up with arms growing from the tops of their heads, you’d be noticng them all the damn time, unless you’re a recluse.

The central issue issue here revolves around whether or not this is percentage is significant. You specifically said that this figure is statistically significant, which means it's calculated somewhere, right? Is this something that's calculated in the report? Did you calculate yourself? If so what was the chosen neutral baseline?

If there are no calculations and this is just your opinion, then I gotta say that I disagree with you. Your making the assumption that the 13% behave as a bloc, which doesn't sound likely.

For example, it is highly unlikely that everybody who holds this opinion is a registered or active voter. According to the Census Bureau, in the 2024 election, 73.6% of eligible voters were registered and only 65.3% were registered to vote. It's also likely that many of the people who hold this opinion are still willing to vote for women candidates even if they prefer male candidates. According to a 2019 Gallup survey, 94% of Americans were willing to vote for a female president.

This conclusion is further strengthened by the survey you shared because it showed that this 13% isn't made up of just a few demographics, but rather it's spread across all demographics. Considering how different demographics vote very differently in elections, it is very unlikely that this 13% has the ability to sway elections as you seem to imply... unless you have evidence to show that it does.

Your experience doesn’t show anything. Neither does mine, because anecdotes are not, nor ever will be, valid evidence of anything useful in discussions about social or political issues.

Okay, that is fair. However, we're using actual data now, and the data seems to indicate that my original assumption is correct. This is something that's rare in our society.