this post was submitted on 06 May 2025
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Poll before 80th anniversary of VE Day finds tensions with Russia seen as most probable cause

80 years after the second world war, polling shows many Americans and western Europeans believe an even more devastating third global conflict could break out within a decade, with tensions with Russia seen as the most probable cause.

As Europe prepares to mark the 80th anniversary of VE Day, the YouGov polling also showed large majorities felt that events during and before the second world war were relevant today and must continue to be taught to younger generations.

Between 41% and 55% of respondents in the five European countries polled: Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Spain, said they thought another world war was very or fairly likely within the next five to 10 years, a view shared by 45% of Americans.

Majorities of 68% to 76% said they expected any new conflict would involve nuclear weapons, and between 57% and 73% also said a third world war would lead to greater loss of life than in 1939-1945. Many (25% to 44%) believed it would kill most people in the world.

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[–] wjrii@lemmy.world 29 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Literally the one undeniable success of the post-WW2 order was the lack of a global-scale hot war. Everything else is tainted by smaller scale conflicts and self-interest and economic inequality and picking winners and losers in a callous and awful way. But, you could always say it's been 60, 70, and then 80 years with no world war 3. We didn't nuke ourselves. We didn't devastate our species' potential to make the world better for more people. I guess on net there was even progress, statistically speaking, though that's small comfort to those it bypassed and the benefits sure as shit were not distributed equitably.

That one thing, that lowest of bars -- no global shooting war -- is now at risk because a handful of men who are stupid or evil or both, surrounded by people orbiting around them on those axes of stupidity and evilness, have decided that too much is not enough.

[–] nuko147@lemm.ee 2 points 1 day ago

Although i hate nukes, i believe without them we would had WW3 many years ago, and now maybe WW4. Humanity is just immature still.

[–] Joeffect@lemmy.world 7 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

We have come close... Like that Russian dude on the sub who refused to launch nukes because he was pretty sure it wasn't real.... At least I think I remember that correctly...

I was close

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alarm_incident