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[-] Jordan117@lemmy.world 275 points 9 months ago

I'm all for shitting on Xitter, but this is a pretty bad article. It's written like somebody put it through Google Translate a few times, and doesn't cite any sources for any of its claims. Closest I could find was this Business Insider story on a report by Apptopia, which only says that its downloads in various app stores declined 30%, not its overall userbase.

[-] RocketBoots@programming.dev 10 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

I haven't had the chance to look up the data myself, but if downloads did decline in a way that's unprecedented its a strong loss leader. To be really interesting though you'd have to couple it with other metrics.

Edit: There are people implying they work or worked at Twitter. They didn't.

[-] drdabbles@lemmy.world 17 points 9 months ago

Declining downloads simply means a slowing of growth, whereas this is claiming a user decline. That only shows up in traffic logs, transit commits, or CDN account usage data.

[-] Palerider@feddit.uk 22 points 9 months ago

Not necessarily.

Every time someone buys a new device they have to reinstall the app. So declining downloads could be indicitive of less users.

[-] hoshikarakitaridia@sh.itjust.works 6 points 9 months ago

Yeah and also, in capitalism, if a company ceases to grow, there's a good chance it will vaporize soon after. It's not a causation, but it's a notable correlation.

[-] RocketBoots@programming.dev 3 points 9 months ago

Yup! There are people out there with big pockets watching for stats much subtler than this. It doesn't always mean much taken on its own, but as a whole can paint an interesting picture.

[-] nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de 3 points 9 months ago

whole can paint an interesting picture.

I know there’s meant to be a comma after ‘whole’. But I just pictured someone dumping a whole can of paint on a canvas and yelling “time!” Before walking over and slapping it on an easel at an auction and selling it for millions, while still dripping.

[-] RocketBoots@programming.dev 1 points 9 months ago

I almost want to add a hyphen now to make it official.

[-] RocketBoots@programming.dev 2 points 9 months ago
[-] drdabbles@lemmy.world 1 points 9 months ago

Phone replacement is a high seasonality situation. CDN usage and access logs will absolutely show whether usage has declined or not. Release an iPhone and you see a major spike in new downloads, otherwise it's probably all pretty much background noise.

My guess is everything involving Twitter has been on a decline, and the things I did know I'm not able to share.

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this post was submitted on 10 Sep 2023
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