this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2024
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Yup, so while those people technically volunteer, I wouldn't be so sure that they're volunteering out of their love for the motherland.
Still, I reckon the order of motivation goes: Patriots who fight for the cause > Well-paid volunteers > Conscripts. So you've got that right. Unfortunately, I doubt Ukraine can offer any contractors nearly as much as Russia does.
I do hope there's peace soon, but that's still entirely up to Putin and literally nobody else. I'm pretty sure Ukrainians would be ready to accept a white peace immediately at this point, without even regaining Crimea or anything, but Putin needs to have territorial gains beyond that.
It's as much up to the west as it is up to Russia. The Ukrainians are stuck fighting a proxy war for NATO here. It's also worth noting that Russia offered negotiations right before Ukraine started their ill fated Kursk offensive. It's pretty clear that neither the Ukrainian regime nor their western sponsors want to negotiate. The real tragedy in all this is that the war could've been over two months in when the negotiations in Astana were happening, but as we now know the west sabotaged them and convinced Ukraine to fight instead.