this post was submitted on 26 Jul 2024
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How Soon Might the Atlantic Ocean Break? Two Sibling Scientists Found an Answer—and Shook the World (www.wired.com)
submitted 5 months ago by fattyfoods@feddit.nl to c/green@lemmy.ml
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[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 8 points 5 months ago

"Across a thousand runs, the model cranked through the temperature data and settled on a year. Sometimes the model spat out later dates. Sometimes earlier. The two scientists made a plot of the numbers and a neat cluster emerged. Yes—2057. But that’s just the middle point: In 95 percent of the model’s simulations, the AMOC tipped sometime between 2025 and 2095."