this post was submitted on 11 Aug 2023
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The thing is AIs are actually really bad at physical stuff like replacing a rotor. Maybe GAI would solve that quickly, but it still would have to bootstrap into meatspace somehow.
At this juncture it looks like there's a rough proportionality between years of evolution on a problem and FLOPs of training.
Counterpoint:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xAXvfVTgqr0
That's impressive, and these guys are at the cutting edge, but notice it's on flat, predictable terrain. I bet it couldn't handle an uncharted bush. And, if the robots want to maintain themselves, much more than walking is required.
As for the FLOPs thing, their techniques are proprietary and bespoke, so it's entirely possible they've used a similar amount of resources to get to this point, even if we can't know.
I don't think the ground robots are quite ready to navigate sense bush, swamps, cross rivers, etc., no.
But the majority of the world's population is easily reachable by flat and predictable terrain right now. And if it really can't manage to get inside the habitat or attack it with anything else, you'll be starved out and die off before the robot does.
That's a good question actually, how long could this thing walk around a city before it gets caught on something or wedged in a corner or otherwise disabled?
Ask the same about a Tesla on autopilot
The answer to that one is even known, and it's "a very long time, but not long enough to be safe". And all it has to do is follow a marked, probably charted road and not hit other cars.