The whole Venezuela v Guyana thing is complicated as hell. It essentially started with the Dutch & Britain drawing Guyana’s maps wrong. Flash forward and Venezuela is all pissed that Guyana’s maps include their territory so arbitration is called in…and the arbiters are the US and UK of all nations. And of course they vote in Guyana’s favor.

So Venezuela of course is once again pissed and doesn’t accept the binding arbitration agreement. Flash forward again and now it’s been made even more complicated since oil has been found off the coast of the contested territory. Even worse, Guyana is poorly equipped to defend it.

To put it simply, it’s a shitshow.

Unfortunately Israel shitting all over the ICJ has delegitimized the court's ability to weigh in on the matter, but they're working it out through the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States. This is distinctly different from the situation in Ukraine because there wasn't an equivalent organization that could handle disputes.