this post was submitted on 21 Feb 2024
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Apple
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Do you honestly think that anything will change if iOS is opened to sideloading, for someone who never wants to leave the walled garden?
Because the answer is no. On Android any App that wants to have any shot at gaining mainstream success (aka 99% of Apps) HAVE to be on the Playstore because 95% of users get spooked if they have to download an APK, toggle some settings in settings App that warn you about this being a bad idea.
The only thing that changes is that the 1% of users who know what the fuck they are doing, can do so on a device they payed good money for.
Facebook/ten cent/etc have literally zero reason to stay off the play store. Google encourages them to be malware, and doesnt curtail their bad behavior is any way.
Apple doesn't. They might not leave while they think they can also destroy the security of iOS in the US, but it is a complete and utter certainty that the literal day any similar law takes effect in the US that Facebook and all their apps leave the App Store completely. They absolutely can trivially walk people through the steps from their website and the apps that are already installed, and they already have the monopoly to force their users to deal with it.
Apple isn't Reddit, building a market by claiming to be open then locking it down. They built their market because the walled garden is a massively better product.