this post was submitted on 02 Apr 2024
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More bad news for anyone who wants to ever own a home: Home prices just went up again. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index rose 6% in January, data released today shows; that’s up from a 5.6% increase in the previous month, setting the fastest annual gain since 2022. “On a seasonal adjusted basis, home prices have continued to break through previous all-time highs set last year,” Brian Luke, head of commodities for S&P Dow Jones Indices, said in an accompanying statement.

Renting isn’t necessarily affordable either, but it is cheaper than buying, and could be for years to comeaccording to Capital Economics. That should show just how unaffordable buying has become in a housing market beset by sky-high home prices and mortgage rates that more than doubled in a short period of time. Still, “as mortgage rates fall, we think the difference between the cost of buying and renting will narrow from the current all-time highs,” Capital Economics’ property economist, Thomas Ryan, wrote in a new housing market update. “But even by 2026, renting will remain by far the more cost-effective option.”

Capital Economics recently said the national average house price has risen almost 50% since the start of the pandemic. And in this note, Ryan wrote that rent as a share of disposable income among 25- to 34-year-olds was 40.5% as of the fourth quarter of last year, dipping from a peak of 41.6%. So clearly, both rents and home prices are costly.

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[–] newthrowaway20@lemmy.world 33 points 7 months ago (7 children)

Who gives a shit about a couple years when people regularly buy 30 year mortgages? How much would rent increase over that timeframe?

[–] Sludgeyy@lemmy.world 4 points 7 months ago

Let's say an 18 year old moves out and starts renting

The average rent in US is 1.5k

30 years of payment is 540k

When that person is 48, they would have paid 540k in rent expenses

This is assuming that rent doesn't increase

Throwing 600k out the window before you're even 50 is not a recipe for success

76 is US average life expectancy. That's ~25 more years of rent.

If they retire at 63. 13 years of 1.5k a month rent is 234k. They need a quarter million in retirement funds just for rent to live up until 76.

45 years of working for that 18 year old would need to make ~750k.

That's 16.5k a year just to pay for rent

Again this is assuming rent never goes up.

That's 8 dollars an hour 40 hours a week every week.

10% more than minimum wage, just for rent.

It's crazy

And this assumes you die and don't have to rent after the age of 76

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