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So the biggest issue on polling is that it's a broken system. It relies on all people to answer when asked, and what we're seeing is people flat out aren't doing it. Think about it. When's the last time you answered an unknown number, and if that number wasn't something you were expecting (like your car repair person telling you your vehicle was ready) did you stay on the line?
This same kind of thing is popping up when we look at polling for the primaries and then see the actual voter data. They haven't been lining up for a while.
Think back to 2022. The media, for months, was saying there was going to be a red wave election. Polling was supporting this as well. And... they had a measly 5 seat majority.
I think people are putting way too much faith in polling the past few cycles, because something fundamentally changed in how people interact with them.
Right? Just a few days ago reported that Biden was winning battleground states because of felon.
Precisely.
If you look at the underlying metrics for this election, it shouldn't be anywhere near to being close. Multiple state republican parties are literally bankrupt, the primary demographic of the GOP is dying due to old age, and they are running a convicted felon.
You also have stuff like trump paying for biased polls. Are we really going to think that other people; didn't know about this and are now doing it as well?
It just doesn't make any sense, and of course our corporate owned media flat out refuses to be the 4th wall and be objective in their reporting. It's infuriating.
The media doesn't get clicks when the race isn't close. So they do everything they can to portray it as close.
Without a doubt. It's very frustrating isn't it?